Again and again, Saul Canelo Alvarez beats Julio Cesar Chavez, Jr. says computer simulation
By Alex Pierpaoli
As you know if you watch the Blast-From-The-Past on The Billy C Morning Show each Wednesday, we like to end each segment by using the Title Bout Championship Boxing Game fight simulation software in setting up fantasy match-ups. Well, in light of this week’s big Pay-per-View we decided to see what the game said about Julio Cesar Chavez Jr. versus Saul Canelo Alvarez. As I do each week on the Blast, first, I put the fighters in against each other in one 12 round bout and then made them fight 100 times. This time I also played with the conditions you can set for each fight. Like say one guy were to arrive overweight, hypothetically, of course, you can set the game to allot for that. So here are the results with a few different specified conditions, the trend is abundantly clear, though. The Computer likes Cinnamon.
Results with Canelo Alvarez ranked as a Jr Middle, Chavez Jr as a Middle and both men in Top Condition: 1st fight: Alvarez is dropped in the 7th, he rises but at 2:57 the bout is waved off. Winner by TKO is Julio Cesar Chavez Jr. When they fight one hundred times at that setting, Canelo bests him with a record of 66-28-6 (13). Junior scored 11 kos in his twenty-eight victories.
Results of Canelo vs. Chavez Jr with both fighters ranked as Middleweights and coming in with a setting of Top Condition: In their 1st fight Canelo Alvarez scores a stoppage victory at 2:37 of round 11. When they fight one hundred times under those settings–Both in Top Condition–Canelo gets the best of things with a record of 59-37-4 (15). Julio Cesar Chavez Jr scored 17 kayos in his 37 wins.
Results of Canelo in Top Condition versus a Badly Overweight Julio Cesar Chavez Jr. In their 1st fight, Chavez Jr opens up a big gash in the face of Canelo in round number 6 and at :27 of round 8 the bout is stopped. Winner by TKO, Julio Cesar Chavez Jr. But when they fight one hundred times under those same conditions Canelo dominates 86-11-3 (11) and Chavez Jr scored 7 knockouts in his eleven wins.
Results with Canelo fighting under the conditions of: Broke Training Regularly. And Julio Cesar Chavez Jr.’s condition set as: Badly Overweight: In their 1st fight: Canelo was on the deck in the eleventh. It goes the distance. The scores after twelve rounds are 117-110 x 2, and 116-111 all in favor of Julio Cesar Chavez Jr. One of the quotes from the Blow-By-Blow is: This has not been one for the ages both guys tentative.” When they fight one hundred times under those conditions again it is all Cinnamon. Canelo goes 53-41-6 (13) and Chavez Jr was able to notch 17 knockouts among those forty-one victories.
The average of all those different adjustable conditions, if my math is correct, shows Saul Canelo Alvarez finishing at 66-29-5 (13) versus Julio Cesar Chavez jr. So it’s safe to say according to the Title Bout Championship Game, Canelo should win big this Saturday night.